Days Suitable for Fieldwork in Missouri

Ray Massey, Extension Professor, Commercial Agriculture Program
Brent Carpenter, Agricultural Business Specialist, West Central Region
Scott Gerlt, Program Leader, U.S. Crop Market and Policy Analysis, MU Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute

The number of days available to complete land-based agricultural activities influences decisions about inputs, such as variety/hybrid planted and pesticide used, and machinery. The limited fieldwork days available for completing crucial tasks — such as tillage, planting and harvest — require careful management.

A large machinery complement will complete fieldwork quickly but can increase ownership costs. A small machinery complement may have lower ownership costs but may also delay some key activities that affect productivity. The size of machinery needed to efficiently complete the necessary activities depends on how many days the machinery can actually be used in the field.

The Missouri Agricultural Statistics Service (MASS) reports the number of days each week that soil and moisture conditions are suitable for fieldwork. These data start around the first week of April. This start date leaves a gap in fieldwork days data when important field operations such as fertilizer application and early corn planting occur.

Average number of days suitable for fieldwork

Figure 1 shows the distribution of fieldwork days for the 61-calendar-day periods of April–May and September–October. Use the graph by selecting the number of days that you would like to have available for fieldwork. Draw a straight line up. When your line intersects either the April–May or September–October plots, draw a straight line left to the axis labeled "Probability." The result is the percentage of time that you could expect the desired number of fieldwork days to be available. For example, 35 fieldwork days or more occur about 30 percent of the time during the April–May period. That means that 70 percent of the time you will not have the 35 fieldwork days you want.

Table 1 summarizes the average number of weekly fieldwork days from 1977 to 2015 in each of the nine MASS reporting districts. The actual number of suitable fieldwork days varies considerably from year to year. Estimates are for seven-day workweeks. If fieldwork will not be done every day of the week, adjust the data by multiplying by the fraction of the week that will be worked, such as 6⁄7 or 0.857 for a six-day workweek. Figure 2 shows the weekly averages for each district with a trend line to smooth out the weekly variability.

Probability of weather favoring completion of fieldwork in Missouri Figure 1
Probability of weather favoring completion of fieldwork in Missouri within a specified number of days during an April–May period and a September–October period.
 

Table 1
Average number of days per week for fieldwork in Missouri.

Week beginningMissouri Agricultural Statistics Service reporting districtsMissouri state
NWNCNEWCCECSWSCSE
Mar 273.61.40.92.62.41.74.04.33.42.9
Apr 033.32.52.53.23.02.64.14.13.03.0
Apr 103.43.02.93.33.42.94.34.23.13.3
Apr 173.33.13.13.23.33.34.14.33.43.4
Apr 243.02.72.83.33.33.34.44.33.63.4
May 013.32.92.73.33.33.34.24.13.53.3
May 083.02.72.82.93.33.34.14.13.23.1
May 153.23.03.13.23.63.54.34.23.63.4
May 223.73.23.33.33.53.64.14.24.03.6
May 293.53.33.53.43.74.04.14.54.23.7
Jun 053.53.43.43.44.03.94.44.54.43.8
Jun 124.03.83.93.94.24.34.74.84.74.2
Jun 194.33.83.94.04.14.24.75.04.84.2
Jun 264.34.34.74.54.74.85.25.45.34.7
Jul 034.74.54.94.64.95.05.05.45.14.9
Jul 104.94.95.04.95.25.15.45.55.15.1
Jul 174.94.84.95.05.15.15.75.75.25.1
Jul 245.25.25.35.65.65.56.05.85.65.5
Jul 315.14.95.15.45.45.25.85.85.55.3
Aug 075.14.95.25.25.35.25.85.75.05.2
Aug 145.45.35.35.75.85.56.16.05.75.6
Aug 215.04.95.45.45.45.56.05.95.85.4
Aug 285.15.05.15.55.55.56.16.06.05.5
Sep 045.25.25.45.35.55.55.95.95.75.5
Sep 115.35.25.55.55.55.45.95.95.65.5
Sep 185.05.05.35.15.35.45.55.75.75.3
Sep 254.84.54.94.95.15.25.45.75.35.0
Oct 025.15.05.05.15.25.05.65.65.15.2
Oct 095.15.05.15.15.25.35.75.85.75.3
Oct 165.24.94.94.94.95.05.45.45.15.0
Oct 234.74.54.84.74.84.85.35.54.64.8
Oct 304.54.44.64.54.74.65.15.14.34.6
Nov 064.34.04.44.24.34.34.74.84.34.3
Nov 134.23.94.14.34.44.24.84.94.34.3
Nov 204.23.94.03.94.03.74.74.63.74.0
Nov 273.53.03.13.03.02.73.83.93.43.2
Dec 044.02.82.52.92.51.82.93.31.82.7
Dec 112.82.22.52.12.12.33.13.12.22.4
PeriodMissouri Agricultural Statistics Service reporting districtsMissouri state
FromNWNCNEWCCECSWSCSE
March 27 to June 53.32.92.83.23.33.24.24.33.63.4
June 5 to Aug. 284.74.64.84.95.05.05.45.55.24.9

 

Missouri Agricultural Statistics Service reporting districts.Missouri Agricultural Statistics Service reporting districts.
 

Missouri state average
Northwest Missouri state average
North Central Missouri state average
NortheastMissouri state average
West CentralMissouri state average
Central Missouri state average
East Central Missouri state average
Southwest Missouri state average
Southwest Missouri state average
South CentralMissouri state average
Figure 2
Average number of days per week suitable for fieldwork in Missouri, by Missouri Agricultural Statistics Service reporting districts.

Calculating machinery needs

After you have found the average number of days that you can expect to be able to perform fieldwork, the minimum necessary daily machinery capacity can be computed. The formulas for this computation are

acres worked per day = acres ÷ days suitable for fieldwork

acres worked per hour = acres per day ÷ working hours per day

For example, in southeast Missouri between April 3 and April 17, you can expect 6.1 days (3.0 + 3.1 days, from Table 1) suitable for fieldwork during that two-week period. If you have 1,000 acres of corn to plant, you need to be able to plant 164 acres per day (1,000 ÷ 6.1) to finish within two weeks under average circumstances. If the planter can be operated 14 hours per day, a planter large enough to plant 11.7 acres an hour (164 acres ÷ 14 hours) is needed.

 Because these data are annual averages, the above example implicitly assumes a completion rate of about 50 percent. This means that in about half the years, less than 1,000 acres will be planted in the two-week period when planting at 11.7 acres an hour. This level of risk may not be acceptable to all operators.

Online tools for farmers

Several online tools using the days-suitable-for-fieldwork data are available to help farmers make informed decisions.

A spreadsheet calculator called Probable Fieldwork Days Model can be downloaded from the Spreadsheet Tools section of the University of Missouri Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) website at http://fapri.missouri.edu/farmers-corner. This calculator — and its accompanying guide, MU Extension publication G363, Fieldwork Days and Machinery Capacity — helps farmers refine machinery size decisions and evaluate the chance of inadequate time to complete fieldwork. The calculator computes the probability that work can be completed for specific cropping activities during defined time periods in any region of the state. Users can quantify how a change in machinery size or crop acreage affects the risk of not completing the work.

An online interactive tool called Corn Split Nitrogen Application is accessible from the Decision Support Tools section of the Useful to Usable (U2U) project's website at https://mygeohub.org/groups/u2u/tools. This tool combines the fieldwork days data with a corn growth model and weather information to estimate the probability of successfully implementing a post-planting nitrogen application for corn production.

For further information